Barron’s Emerging Markets 2015 Outlook

January 4, 2015


Emerging market investments moved lower in the first day of 2015 trading.

Brazil’s Bovespa fell 4.3%, and was the biggest loser on the day, while shares in Mexico and Turkey slipped  about a point. But shares in Russia and India, as measured by MSCI indexes, rose more than 1%, as did the Hang Seng. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) fell 1.3% and the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) was down 1.1%.

Here’s a quick list of posts for investors summing the emerging markets outlook:

Oil: Will the price of crude go to $50 per barrel and stay there?

10 predictions for emerging markets in 2015, from Citi Research.
10 predictions for emerging markets in 2015 from Capital Economics, with links to outlooks from HSBC, Deutsche Bank and UBS.
How oil is lowering emerging market inflation.

Africa: four exchange-traded funds and a handful of mutual funds and stocks to play frontier markets in Africa.

Argentina: one of the best emerging market bond bets of 2014 was Argentina, despite a debt default.

Brazil: The investigation into allegations of kickbacks at state-run energy giant Petrobras(PBR) wears on.

Greece: with unplanned parliamentary elections in late January, the hope is that the nation’s splintered political parties can form a coalition in February, in time to negotiate debt agreements.

Latin America: The Outlook for Latin America in 2015, from Morgan Stanley.

Russia: Are protests in Russia coming with the thaw? S&P cut Russia’s debt outlook, but unless Russia collapses, Eurasia Group’s Ian Bremmer told Barron’s it could take months or years for popular Russian uprisings against the regime of President Vladimir Putin. Sberbank(SBRCY) could have 75% upside, one analyst thinks.

And India cropped up among Barron’s Emerging Markets Daily blog posts that drew many comments in 2014.

Tags: 2015, barrons, energy, markets, oil & gas, stock market
Posted in LatAm, Energy, Macro Economics, Funds